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Job Market Remains Strong

March 12, 2024

 

As inflation moderates and the U.S. economy displays resilience, the Federal Reserve has been focused on the labor market and its role in achieving a soft landing.

 

The February jobs report revealed there is a strong demand for jobs, as the economy added 275,000 jobs, comfortably above expectations of 200,000. It was the fourth consecutive month that job growth surpassed expectations. Although there was a combined downward revision of 167,000 jobs from the prior two months, the three-month average was 265,000, which is its highest in a year.

 

After coming in higher-than-expected in January, average hourly earnings improved from an annual rate of 4.5% to 4.3%. Although wage growth has been gradually slowing, a positive sign for the Fed, it has held steady at an annual pace of 4.3% since October.

 

We expect the labor market will remain strong, supporting consumer spending and our outlook that the U.S. economy should continue to outperform the rest of the world.

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